Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.369766 1.703783 2.150077 2.816342 3.838606e+00 5.456235 8.496572
2025-09-07 0.977591 1.339905 1.908916 2.963484 5.170174e+00 10.750668 35.616604
2025-09-14 0.769107 1.113290 1.708002 2.978666 6.354883e+00 20.039446 393.016807
2025-09-21 0.632876 0.947590 1.525607 2.887116 7.238974e+00 35.687909 NaN
2025-09-28 0.544853 0.837489 1.401647 2.843492 8.311986e+00 73.448527 NaN
2025-10-05 0.506557 0.805116 1.418267 3.172181 1.186336e+01 601.386136 NaN
2025-10-12 0.466164 0.758969 1.388975 3.356772 1.576912e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.423450 0.699776 1.312013 3.337959 1.861572e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.383319 0.639264 1.216717 3.198992 2.011652e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.358750 0.607025 1.183710 3.286980 2.577572e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.340863 0.585994 1.174085 3.474225 3.672757e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.319358 0.554140 1.128260 3.471582 4.538184e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.295452 0.514922 1.056514 3.313405 4.852554e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.283203 0.500223 1.050947 3.500433 7.752129e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.268242 0.477585 1.017831 3.519761 1.066798e+02 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.252028 0.450398 0.966401 3.402869 1.224907e+02 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.238762 0.428767 0.928147 3.347328 1.553913e+02 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.235388 0.429753 0.959095 3.768234 6.700613e+02 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.228652 0.421971 0.960970 4.007046 6.169312e+03 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.218656 0.405331 0.930939 3.982628 1.564997e+05 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.207436 0.384816 0.885076 3.802814 1.147509e+06 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.200920 0.375323 0.874797 3.916551 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.196282 0.370037 0.877938 4.159887 NaN NaN NaN